Erratic dispersal modelling -- the Irish Sea Ice Stream

Modelling erratic dispersal accounting for shifting ice flow geometries: A new method and explanations of erratic dispersal of the British–Irish Ice Sheet
R. L. Veness, C. D. Clark, J. C. Ely, J. L. Knight, A. Igneczi, S. L. BradleyVersion of Record online: 15 May 2025

https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.3720

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/jqs.3720

ABSTRACT: Glacial erratics are geologically distinctive rocks transported away from their source area by ice sheets and deposited in lithologically different bedrock areas. They have attracted much scientific curiosity with >24 000 observations across the British Isles. A common misinterpretation is that they took a nearly direct line of transport from source to resting position, neglecting to change ice flow directions during ice sheet growth and decay. To rectify this, we sequentially modelled erratic time‐space trajectories at 1000‐year timesteps using ice flowlines in an empirically constrained ice sheet model simulation to predict erratic deposition areas. We addressed the processes of entrainment and deposition by combining all potential trajectories into a single footprint of possible locations. Erratic dispersal is predicted for three geologically distinctive lithologies; Shap Granite of Northern England, Galway Granite of Ireland and the Glen Fyne igneous complex from Scotland. The footprint of predicted trajectories compared against 1883 observations of erratic locations was found to successfully explain 77% of the observed erratics. Most erratics were explained by flow directions during ice retreat; however, some required earlier ice divide shifts to produce potentially long‐duration, multiphase pathways. Our analysis demonstrates the possibility of explaining many erratics without explicitly modelling the complex processes of entrainment and deposition.

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This is an interesting paper in which the authors test a modelling exercise agtainst "ground truthing" for the distribution of erratics from three different bedrock sources -- one in Ireland, one in northern England, and one in western Scotland.   Figure 4 (at the head of this post) shows the latest version of the streamlines of the Irish Sea Ice Stream as far south as the Bristol Channel, predicting where distinctive erratics from the Loch Fyne igneous complex might be found.

See this post:

https://brian-mountainman.blogspot.com/2024/08/possible-altar-stone-sources.html

and this:

https://brian-mountainman.blogspot.com/2024/08/in-praise-of-ailsa-craig.html

This new work has a bearing on the Altar Stone debate -- including the possibility that it might have come from one of the ORS sandstone outcrops in the Midland Valley of Scotland or the Southern Uplands.   We already know a lot about the distribution of Ailsa Craig erratics -- this new work suggests that other erratics from much further north -- around Loch Fyne -- might also have found their way into the Bristol Channel and onto the coasts of SW England.

I must admit to being very intrigued by the postulated streamlines for South Pembrokeshire and the Bristol Channel and by the positions of the arrow tips.  There is no ground truthing to show that there ever was a significant ice edge position where it is shown on Figure 4.  And of course it is wildly improbable that erratic-carrying ice ever did swing round in Carmarthen Bay and move north-westwards onto the coast of SE Pembrokeshire -- ie directlly opposite to the direction of ice flow across the rest of the county.   The model that created the map clearly needs some tweaking........