THE BOOK
Some of the ideas discussed in this blog are published in my new book called "The Stonehenge Bluestones" -- available by post and through good bookshops everywhere. Bad bookshops might not have it....
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Thursday, 10 September 2026

The Archdruid of UCL







The Archdruid of UCL: Mike Parker Pearson and the Neolithic Gorsedd of Bards


For over half a century, the mainstream archaeological establishment has treated the ghost of 18th-century antiquarianism with steadfast derision. Generations of university students have been taught to laugh at William Stukeley and John Aubrey for looking at Stonehenge and for inventing a romantic "Druidic Temple." We have been told, with immense scientific gravity, that the Iron Age Druids lived thousands of years after the stones were erected, and that any talk of a secretive, white-robed, elite intellectual class possessing "sacred knowledge" of the stones is nothing but a modern, fabricated delusion.

Fast forward to four years ago, when Parker Pearson initiated and drove a multi-disciplinary paleoenvironmental investigation in the Preseli Hills, fully expecting the pollen cores to rubber-stamp his grand "Exodus Theory”. He needed the pollen analysis and other data to show that West Wales was “emptied” around 3000 BC, proving that the local population had packed up their stone circles and marched off to Wiltshire with them. Instead, objective science did what it should do: it refused to print the script. The pollen analyses came back showing unbroken agricultural and pastoral continuity [Spencer et al., 2025]. The people didn't leave. They stayed put, farming their fields, grazing their livestock and putting up assorted megalithic structures such as burial chambers, straight through the 3000 BC horizon. Further, the environmental data proved that the lowland valleys were choked with a dense primary deciduous swamp-forest that would instantly defeat any overland stone-transporting convoy.

This story of stability and slow evolution is essentially what we already know from the work of Darvill and Wainwright and from the painstaking record keeping with regard to West Wales archaeological sites by Dyfed Archaeology.

The language used in the article by Spencer et al is extraordinary, desperately incorporating multiple gratuitous references to Stonehenge, stone quarries and stone transport and throwing in so many unfounded assumptions and speculations that the integrity of the study is seriously compromised. That’s a pity, since the basic science seems quite sound and even important.

What we now see is that Professor MPP,  in a series of increasingly bizarre sociological pivots, has inadvertently resurrected the spirit of Iolo Morganwg. To save his human-transport dogma from the unyielding realities of Quaternary geomorphology and palynology, he has been forced to invent an invisible, multi-regional, prehistoric elite secret society.

So, faithful blog followers, welcome to the Neolithic Gorsedd of Bards.

Because he cannot abandon the human-transport narrative without discrediting a vast output of academic publications, MPP has had to  rewrite the social structure of the Neolithic. Moving the stones is no longer a broad, communal, societal migration involving a whole tribal society. Instead, it has been re-interpreted as an exclusive, top-down corporate enterprise involving a select few, driven by powerful leaders who used public symbols to impress and manipulate the masses. We are not talking about tribal chieftains and the ruling class; we are talking about something much more subtle involving belief, not strength or power.

According to this new narrative, this highly specialized, elite lineage of prehistoric project managers and logistics experts—also possessing some esoteric knowledge of ancestral connections—somehow held the absolute political and spiritual authority to command delegations of workers to commute across Britain to build Stonehenge, leaving the regular peasantry back in Wales to tend the cattle.

It’s more complex than that, since MPP now seems to be suggesting that 80 bluestones were passed from one community to another in a sort of megelithic relay (like the one that carries the Olympic flame) through dozens of different tribal territories over many generations. If true, this must have required an immense bureaucratic machine, with a high level of managed infrastructure, enforcement, and policing. There would have been permanent or seasonal base camps along the route to house, feed, and manage thousands of labourers. But MPP faces a problem. There is absolutely no trace of any such infrastructure along the proposed coastal or overland routes between Pembrokeshire and Wiltshire. The archaeological record shows nothing but scattered, normal domestic debris from local farming and hunting as people went about their humdrum daily lives.

The MPP hypothesis depends on a "pan-British alliance" where different communities willingly cooperated or were forced by this mysterious "elite" to haul heavy stones for a distant monument they would likely never see. But tribal societies are notoriously territorial and protective of their resources. To suggest that dozens of decentralized, independent communities along the Bristol Channel or Welsh borders blindly submitted to some outside elite who wanted them to act as a transport service defies everything we know about tribalism and human behaviour. There is no evidence of any Neolithic organization capable of enforcing such back-breaking labor across tribal lines.

It is one thing to imagine a single tribal community bringing a "prestige stone" as a one-off diplomatic gift. It is a completely different story to coordinate the movement of 80 bluestone boulders of assorted shapes and sizes. The logistical nightmare of scheduling, labor rotation, food supply, and boat/sledge maintenance for a continuous multi-stone conveyor belt would rival the logistics of the Roman Empire. Yet, we are asked to believe this was orchestrated by a ghost elite who left behind nothing but modest traces of their habitations, assorted small stone settings on burial sites, and simple pottery in West Wales.

By framing this gigantic enterprise as a "unification project", the narrative uses comforting, modern metaphors to mask a total vacuum of physical evidence. When you strip away the storytelling, the sheer lack of administrative and material traces proves that the "grand relay" is a logistical fantasy simply and rather blatantly designed to keep the human-transport theory alive.

If this sounds familiar, it should. It is the blueprint of the Gorsedd of Bards, dreamt up out of thin air in 1792 by Iolo Morganwg (Edward Williams). Iolo, a brilliant stonemason and romantic myth-maker, forged "ancient Druidic triads" and constructed an imaginary, elite intellectual class who held sacred control over the landscape's stones and who kept alive their language and cultural traditions. Similarly, the British Druid Order and the Order of Bards, Ovates and Druids (1964) are neo-druidic groups whose origins go back no further than the early 20th Century. The Ancient Order of Druids was established in 1781. See Cusack 2012 for a fascinating history of the relationship between Druidism and Stonehenge……..

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/259926084_Charmed_Circle_Stonehenge_Contemporary_Paganism_and_Alternative_Archaeology

In modern Druidism, the Ovates are responsible for "calling the Ancestors" -- and MPP seems to be assuming this function on the part of his stone-moving Neolithic elite.  They are the "walkers between worlds," delivering prayers or invocations to the spirits of the land and the ancestors who walked it before.   In the good old days they would of course have known about the spirits of the ancestors embodied or buried within certain sacred stones...........

Back to the stones. The comedy turns to farce when MPP attempts to explain how this Neolithic Gorsedd actually moved the bluestones through a dense, primeval forest without leaving a single sledge track, broken or abandoned stone, or cleared route through the forest. His current working hypothesis is that the stones were lifted onto simple wooden lattices and physically carried on the shoulders of scores of men.

Let’s apply a basic, common-sense cost-benefit analysis to this engineering proposition. Let’s say that a standard bluestone weighs around 3 tonnes. To build a timber grid or "stretcher" rigid enough to bear a concentrated load of this size without instantly snapping across the middle, you cannot use light saplings. You need thick, seasoned oak trunks configured into a structural, cross-braced frame.

By the time you build a timber apparatus large enough to distribute that weight across 80 or 100 carrying positions, the wooden lattice itself would weigh up to 2 or 3 tons. it is no longer simple, but highly complex. The elite Druidic commuters (or their slaves or faithful followers) wouldn’t just be carrying the stone; they would be carrying an additional dead-weight of timber that effectively doubled the load. Combine that with the ergonomic nightmare of packing dozens of men shoulder-to-shoulder on rough, hummocky and boggy terrain, where a single trip or misstep by one carrier triggers a catastrophic domino effect, and the "carrying lattice" exposes itself as a structural absurdity.

When antiquarians and modern Druidic groups erect man-made replica stone circles for the National Eisteddfod, they are practicing a recognized, modern, romantic tradition. We can call it the ultimate form of institutional pageantry. All perfectly harmless……

The MPP research team has boxed itself into a corner. Those involved are willing to violate the fundamental laws of engineering, human biomechanics, and their own funded environmental data rather than admit a simple geological truth: Neolithic builders were essentially pragmatists and opportunists. They didn't need a secret society to conquer Wales or Scotland or to unify a vast array of different tribal groups with their own cultural traditions and preferences. In the real world they simply gathered a mixed, heterogeneous assortment of stones that an ancient glacier had already dropped either on the undulating chalk terrain of Salisbury Plain or very close to it.

Occam’s Razor rules. As Hitchens and Sagan have said with reference to all scientific work, if you want to propose extraordinary and eccentric events or intentions, you must at the same time present incredibly powerful and incontrovertible supporting evidence. This applies to hypotheses relating to Neolithic culture, just as it applies to everything else. Such evidence is entirely missing, and the narrative can therefore be dismissed out of hand.

So where does the Archdruid of UCL go next in his campaign to invent yet more bizarre Neolithic behaviour and to disempower the earth sciences? A Neolithic Eisteddfod with the Preseli Male Voice Choir winning a famous choral competition, cheered on by family and friends? The re-establishment of the REALLY ANCIENT Order of British Druids? A nice little cult, with the Archdruid at its centre? But don’t we have that already, in all but name?

NOTE

“The vast literature on Stonehenge offers the widest conceivable range of answers, or guesses. Various authors have attributed it to the Phoenicians, Romans, Danes, Saxons, Celtic Druids, British aborigines, Brahmins, Egyptians, Chaldeans, and even . . . the Red Indians, Giants, dwarves and supernatural forces, Atlanteans and extra-terrestrials. It has been called a temple, an observatory, a memorial, a parliament, a necropolis, an orrery, a stone-age computer, and much besides. One might almost suppose that it was specifically designed to accommodate every notion that could possible be projected onto it. For at Stonehenge no antiquarian cause is ever finally lost.” John Michell

REFERENCE

Carole Cusack . 2012. Charmed Circle: Stonehenge, Contemporary Paganism, and Alternative ArchaeologyJanuary 2012 Numen 59(2-3):138-155

DOI: 10.2307/23244956

===============

 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/259926084_Charmed_Circle_Stonehenge_Contemporary_Paganism_and_Alternative_Archaeology

The Devil's Arrows: more smoke and mirrors from Clarke and Co




Natural rectangular gritstone blocks in the woods at Brimham Rocks

I may not be a technical wizard, but after many years of scrutinizing papers in many different fields I know when I am confronted by pseudo-science, and I know how to ask the fundamental question: Are the conclusions reached in the paper on the desk (or on the screen) justified by the evidence presented?

Well, I have been taking a quick look at this new article, just published with a good deal of marketing hype and gullible media coverage:

Deliberate prehistoric sourcing of the Devil's Arrows, Britain's tallest stone row Open Access
Anthony Clarke,  Jim Leary,  Chris Kirkland,  Proc. R. Soc. A (2026) 482 (2345): 20260504 .
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2026.0504


I will come back to it with a more detailed discussion, but these are my initial thoughts.

1. Stratigraphic Continuity & Sampling Overreach

The paper conflates an extensive sedimentary feature—the Kinderscoutian Brimham Grit—with a prominent modern landmark (Brimham Rocks) .

The authors have failed to run control samples across the full lateral extent of the formation, meaning that they cannot mathematically distinguish the famous crag from either prominent or unspectacular outcrops or  strata many miles away which are now buried beneath glacial deposits.

Sampling of the Brimham Grit was restricted to a single location -- a prominent, easily accessible tourist viewpoint, substituting modern human landscape perceptions and preferences for a rigorous sampling programme.

2. Glacial Dynamics Blind Spot.     

The authors appear to be completely naive about the processes of glacial entrainment.  Their simplistic ice-flow objections assume glaciers must have plucked stones from the modern topographic 
high points such as Brimham Rocks.

The Brimham Grit is mapped by BGS across an extensive area  to the west and northwest of Boroughbridge, sitting directly in the path of Devensian ice flowing south and east through the Dales margins. Ice flow during earlier glaciations will not have been significantly different.

The Vale of York is a thoroughly documented glacial depositional zone; the paper fails to demonstrate that streaming ice cannot have entrained the Devil's Arrows and other prominen gritstone blocks and dropped them nearby as convenient erratics.

3. Visual and Statistical Disconnect Histogram Mismatch: 

In spite of the claims in the paper, the raw, unmanipulated zircon age histograms presented look visibly distinct to the naked eye, indicating different physical proportions of mineral grains.

Further, there is statistical masking; the multi-dimensional scaling (MDS) models are highly susceptible to being flooded with irrelevant regional "noise" data (e.g., distant Scottish or Southern English formations), which artificially dilutes local variance to force a tight, artificial cluster match.

Finally, the paper relies on the technique of "telling rather than showing," claiming there are no better matches in the region without actually showing us the evidence accumulated over the years by Andrew Morton and other heavy mineral specialists.

I don't know the field, but it seems to me that the papers by Andrew Morton and his co-authors (in classic papers mapping the heterogeneous sediment routing of the Pennine Basin) are strictly used as "decorative authority".   Clarke and his colleagues are saying "We know the literature.  Trust us....."  Other authorities are cited generically in the introduction to establish that "the detrital zircon spectra of siliciclastic rocks across the Pennine Basin are highly heterogeneous", giving this paper a veneer of geological respectability.  However, when it comes to the actual analysis, Clarke et al completely sidestep the profound implications of previous research. Instead of meaningfully confronting it, they treat it with disdain.

All in all, this is extremely poor science from a team which is getting an unfortunate reputation for making spectacular claims on the basis of very limited fieldwork and totally inadequate sampling protocols. This is the third highly controversial paper from  the Australian "Curtin University school" of geo-archaeology—led by Dr Anthony Clarke and Professor Chris Kirkland.  Their high-profile papers, including the Stonehenge Altar Stone Scottish origin study (Nature, 2024), the Salisbury Plain stream sediment study (Communications Earth & Environment, 2026), and now the Devil's Arrows paper (Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 2026), tend to dazzle the media, and parts of the academic community, because of their high-tech nature.  

Clarke and Kirkland have access to some of the world's most advanced LA-ICP-MS (Laser Ablation Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectrometry) equipment at Curtin University in Perth, Western Australia. When a paper is packed with complex U-Pb isotopic data, core geochemistry, and mineral-scale physics, it creates an intimidating "black box." Archaeology peer-reviewers often lack the highly specialized geochronological background to dispute the numbers, assuming that spectacular machine precision equals geological accuracy.  Instead of publishing in strict, traditional field-geology journals (where regional specialists would immediately question stratigraphic continuity or lateral lithological variations), they target high-impact, multi-disciplinary, or rapid-communication journals (such as Nature, and Royal Society Proceedings). These platforms prioritize groundbreaking, paradigm-shifting narratives and spectacular "discoveries"over cautious, regional field mapping.  And they don't come cheap............

So, to conclude:

Clarke et al have shown quite effectively that the stones referred to as a group called the Devil's Arrows have probably come from the Kinderscoutian gritstone in the Millstone Grit group.  They have NOT shown that the tall standing stones came from the same precise location -- namely Brimham Rocks.

They have NOT shown that the standing stones were transported by human beings.

They have NOT shown that glacial transport was impossible.

They have NOT ruled out multiple other locations to the west and north-west of Boroughbridge from which the stones might originally have been transported by ice.














Monday, 7 September 2026

Those trench and borehole records for Stonehenge Bottom etc


Stonehenge Bottom and Stonehenge -- from Evironment Agency and 
EH imagery, with thanks

Thanks to Steve for highlighting these rather obscure records of "glacial" features and deposits turned up during the long research programme related to the A303 road and tunnel proposals.  The word "glacial" pops up a few times, but we don't know whether it was used after due consideration by a glacial geomorphologist (in which case we need to take it all rather seriously) or whether there was just a slapdash use of terminolgy.  "Glacial" might have been used accidentally instead of the word "periglacial" just as the term "Ice Age" might have been used just to signify great age.  We shall see.

But the reference to "glacial till" seems to be more considered.........

Check out this very interesting post: 

https://www.buystonehenge.com/the-glacial-a303/

From Steve Hooker's blog site: 

Sample 51138, forty litres of the Trench 511 sequence, sits in the Wessex Archaeology archive. Nobody has examined it with the drift question in mind. Clast lithology, fabric, micromorphology and mineral provenance could tell till from solifluction from riverwash. Dating it is a separate fight.

The four Phase 7B OSL cores: where are the results? If ages exist, publish them. If the cores were never run, they may yet be datable. An age alone would not identify a till, but a Middle Pleistocene number under that coombe would change the conversation.

The hummocky belt at Stonehenge Bottom has never been archaeologically sectioned. One trench through the toe would separate phosphate diggings from solifluction from anything older. I’ll guess permission from English Heritage is a hard ask.

Nobody has clast-counted the coombe and colluvial deposits for exotics. The quartzite at STP72602 says the method can detect them.

Are you the hero?

Anyone could do most of this: no research council, no grant. An afternoon in an archive. A phone call to Wessex Archaeology asking after sample 51138. An email to the Gloucestershire lab asking where four sealed cores went. The trench is the exception. That needs consents stacked three deep, this being the middle of a World Heritage Site, so bring patience and a professional dig team. The documents have been public for years, the samples are on shelves, and the question has never been asked of the material that could answer it. So I hope some fascinated party asks. Maybe that is you, dear interested reader, who made it this far.





The Wessex Archaeology sample 51138 clearly needs to be looked at by somebody who knows what a till looks like when fresh, and what it might look like when thoroughly degraded.






Sunday, 6 September 2026

How the Stonehenge obsession destroys sound science


Open moorland up on the mountain -- at Bedd yr Afanc

I have been having another read of the article Dr Daisy Spencer and others on palynology and environmental change in Holocene Preseli, and am saddened by the manner in which an otherwise sound and quite important piece of work by competent scientists has been destroyed by its obsessive and quite irrational obsession with Stonehenge and the bluestones.........

Daisy Eleanor Spencer, Karen Molloy, Mike Parker Pearson, Ralph Fyfe & Aaron Potito (19 Oct 2025): Prehistoric Landscape Change Around the Sources of Stonehenge’s Bluestones in Preseli, Wales, Environmental Archaeology, DOI:10.1080/14614103.2025.2574741
https://doi.org/10.1080/14614103.2025.2574741

Dr Daisy Spencer’s 2-year post-doctoral research Fellowship at the University of Galway was probably funded to the tune of at least 90,000 Euros.  It had the title: ’Palynology and land use in Preseli: Investigating the origin of the Stonehenge bluestones and population migration’.   So right from the start the research was framed as a part of MPP's grand project and Preseli was framed as a sort of annexe of Stonehenge.  Timeline — project announcement August 2022. Completion August 2024. Publication 2025 by a group including MPP.

According to the info on the University of Galway web site, pollen work was to be undertaken by Daisy and her co-workers "close to the important Neolithic bluestone site of Waun Mawn stone circle and the quarries at Carn Goedog and Craig Rhos-y-felin".  When I read that I had that familiar sinking feeling....... here comes the familiar ruling hypothesis........





Three sites where hot disputes are blissfully ignored by the authors of this article

"It was hoped", said the blurb,  "that results would help to shed light as to whether there was a decline in population around 3000 BC in this area, resulting from a migration out of west Wales, with people travelling with the Bluestones to form the first stage of Stonehenge."   So there was a clear objective, dictated by MPP -- which was I suppose inevitable given that he must have been involved in the grant funding application for the fellowship and the lab and research costs that are considerable with palynological studies and radiocarbon dating.

As I read through the text, I found myself swinging from one extreme to the other.  One minute, admiration for the professional expertise of the researchers, and then frustration at yet another gratuitous mention of bluestones, Stonehenge, lost circles and quarries in places where clean and straightforward science was all that was needed.  I don't recall a single instance where the authors referred to "suggested", "proposed" or "postulated" features; the pretence was maintained throughout that these features are definitively proved to have existed.  The authors were -- or so they pretend --  completely oblivious to the fact that there are serious and fundamental disputes in the literature. Needless to say, there are no citations of "inconvenient" articles in the peer-reviewed literature.  Naivety?  Arrogance? Complacency? How did the journal's peer review process fail to pick up on this?

I gave up on counting these strange and quite unnecessary mentions (and their associated citations)  in the end, and decided that if the researchers did not have the strength of character to resist the abundant textual insertions by a certain well known professor, there was no great point in taking their work seriously.  Such a pity.

OK -- they disproved the hypothesis, but they could, and should, have challenged the very foundations of that absurdly fragile edifice.






Friday, 4 September 2026

Another attack on the Altar Stone's "Scottish origin"



As we know from a vast media campaign and from abundant posts on this blog, the idea that the Stonehenge Altar Stone (stone 80) came from "Orcadian" NE Scotland is now taken as an accepted truth.  There have been some differences in interpretation from the Bevins - Ixer - Pearce team and the Clarke and Kirkland team, but their papers make some pretty brash claims which have never been properly interrogated in the specialist literature.  Well, all that is changing, and with a number of geologists now working on the case, I predict that the whole edifice of the "Scottish Altar Stone" will soon come crashing down. 

Key publications:

A Scottish provenance for the Altar Stone of Stonehenge. 2024. Anthony J. I. Clarke, Christopher L. Kirkland, Richard E. Bevins, Nick J. G. Pearce, Stijn Glorie & Rob A. Ixer. Nature 632, 15 Aug 2024, pp 570-587.

Was the Stonehenge Altar Stone from Orkney? Investigating the mineralogy and geochemistry of Orcadian Old Red sandstones and Neolithic circle monuments. 2024. Bevins, R., Pearce, N., Hillier, S., Pirrie, D., Ixer, R. A., Andò, S., Barbarano, M., Power, M. R., & Turner, P. (2024). Journal of Archaeological Science: Reports, 58, Article 104738. A
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jasrep.2024.104738

Clarke, A. J. I., Veness, R. L. J., Kirkland, C. L., Clark, C. D., Gandy, N., Emery, A. et al. (2026) From Highlands to Henge: Refining the Provenance and Transport Pathways of Stonehenge's Altar Stone. Journal of Quaternary Science, 1–8.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/jqs.70080

I have expressed my grave concerns about the methods employed by the two teams (working separately or jointly) and about the reliability of their analytical results, and these concerns are reinforced by new work by Ciborowski and Nash.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jasrep.2026.106012

Hidden in the depths of a highly technical analysis of geochemical methods of stone provenancing, there are two short sections (5.5c and 5.5d) which are of direct relevance.

Just a reminder:  I have heavily criticised the sampling procedures used by the above research teams, who have used proxies or surrogate samples both for the Altar Stone and for the ORS rocks of the Ordcadian Basin. The Altar Stone samples come from old museum collections of rock fragments that may or may not have actually come from the Altar Stone, and the ORS bedrock samples were bought from a rock shop in Whitby.  Nobody initially did any fieldwork.  Quite extraordinary.

I have also criticised the use of just as few analysed samples as proxies for the vast area of the Orcadian Basin, most of which is of course unsampled and unknown. I have many other criticisms too, which can be checked out by putting "Altar Stone" or " Clarke" into the blog search box.

Back to the present day.  Ciborowski and Nash (in their latest contribution, just a few days old) express concerns about "ambiguities" in the use of bivariate geochemical plots by Bevins et al.  (That is a coded way of saying that there are strong suspicions of bias.) They are particularly concerned about the aggregation of samples by those who are promoting the Orcadian connection.   They claim that "pooling" or aggregating data from multiple disparate samples across an entire region to create a generalized "average" or "mean" signature is fundamentally unscientific. They show that when researchers use an aggregated average to characterize a target source area, they erase the localized, internal variations of the actual geology.  By smoothing out the data mathematically, you can inadvertently force a statistical match that doesn't exist anywhere  in reality.  The claimed statistical link between A and B  is an artifact of the analytical method, not an expression of a geological match.

Quote: When the U-Pb zircon signatures of the individual ‘Altar Stone’ samples are compared to those of the individual ‘Orcadian Basin’ samples, any meaningful similarity between the two groups disappears. Indeed, the more valid conclusion that may be drawn from the U-Pb zircon data in Clarke et al. (2024) is that, even with five comparator analyses, none of the individual ‘Altar Stone’ samples look anything like the Orcadian Basin in terms of U-Pb zircon geochronology. This observation alone suggests that the Altar Stone is not from northeast Scotland.


----------------

Looking in on this spat from the outside, this seems to me like a pretty fundamental attack on the analytical methods employed by those who are promoting the "Scottish Altar Stone" hypothesis.  And various little birds have told me that there is more to come......





Thursday, 3 September 2026

Stone 62 -- a nice academic spat about methodology


Unspotted dolerite stone 62 at Stonehenge (courtesy Simon Banton)

I came across this on the University of South Wales web site:

https://pure.southwales.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/39397422/1-s2.0-S2352409X26003093-main.pdf

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jasrep.2026.105874

On following it up, I find that there are three papers and a rather intense and detailed academic spat -- all centred on the methodology for the spot provenancing of dolerites on Mynydd Preseli.  It makes a nice change to find an academic dispute that I am not actually involved in! Anyway, in the right corner, Pearce, Bevins, Ixer and Pirrie, and in the left corner Ciborowski and Nash. These two teams have argued rather violently once before, on the matter of the sarsens of West Woods and Stonehenge, but for now we will leave that to one side.

Here are the other two references:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jasrep.2025.105513 (the original article by C&N)

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jasrep.2026.106012 (the C&N response to the Pierce et al response)

To summarise:

The dispute is very technical, but in essence it is about visual bivariate plots versus mathematical precision and standardization.  The clash exposes a fundamental rift in how these two teams of specialists believe archaeological stone sourcing should be conducted.

Pearce, Bevins, & Ixer have for many years had visual bivariate grouping graphs right at the centre of their provenancing work.  For example, in 2022 they used portable pXRF to analyze Stonehenge Stone 62. They plotted elemental data (like Zirconium, Titanium, Barium, and Rubidium) on a series of visual bivariate graphs.  They concluded that because the data points from Stone 62 visually overlapped with the "field" of a specific small Preseli outcrop called Garn Ddu Fach, it was the definitive source.
This conclusion was inevitably tied into the attempts by Parker Pearson and others to link Stonehenge to nearby ancient sites like Waun Mawn.

 Nash and Ciborowski stepped in to challenge this subjective (and perhaps biased) visual approach. They explicitly argued that relying on a few chosen elements in a bivariate space introduces possible error. They argued that you cannot just pick two elements at a time, draw a loop around a cluster on a graph, and call it an objective match. To remove human selection bias, they developed a highly standardized mathematical method (using geometric mean multi-element ratios).

 In a defense of their methodology, Pearce et al fired back, explicitly stating that “the simple graphical approach using bivariate plots produces the clearest assignment of artefacts to sources.” They argued that  complex mathematical equations actually overcomplicate the data and create false anomalies, whereas a clean X-Y plot provides the most practical "fingerprint". They even pointed out data-formatting flaws in Nash's critique, arguing that Nash's team used rounded data numbers that distorted the true placement on the graphs.

In their latest contribution Nash and Ciborowsky push back, repeat their concerns about the subjectivity involved in selected and possibly cherry-picked bivariate graphs, and argue for an acceptance of a standard mathematical procedure based on ratios of multiple elements against a single immobile element (Zr).

We have probably not heard the last of this............

I'm not going to take sides here, but I am going to say that I have expressed many concerns in the past about the possibility for corruption to creep into bivariate graphs when they are used for "definitive" spot provenancing.  The corruption might be very suble.  Ah, the lure of banner headlines in the media is never very far away.

But I am going to gently chide both teams involved in this dispute.  They argue about Stone 62 and about Carn Goedog, Carn Ddafad-las and Garn Ddu Fach -- and other upstanding tors -- as if they are the only locations that matter:  prominent features in the landscape which must have been (they assume) the focal points in the Neolithic landscape.  But it has never been demonstrated that upstanding tors have provided more monoliths for Stonehenge or anywhere else, in preference to less prominent intervening areas.  They have not, it appears, ever thought seriously about glacial entrainment mechanisms, and persist with the ancient belief that wherever the stones came from, they must have been fetched by Neolithic stone collectors from prominent sacred places.  Big mistake.

Second, both teams have neglected to  address the issue of sampling bias. Even though Richard Bevins and others may have taken hundreds of samples from the tors and other igneous outcrops on Mynydd Preseli, there are vast expanses of igneous terrain that have never been sampled at all.  The geochemical and petrologocal analyses that have been completed -- and reported in the literature -- may represent the places that happen to have been sampled, but they cannot be taken as truly representative of the igneous masses concerned.  We do not know everything about everywhere.  As I have said repeatedly with reference to Rhosyfelin and the claim by Ixer and Bevins that they have done accurate provenancing of Stonehenge fragments to "within a few square metres" they have no idea where their sampled rock layers may crop out elsewhere, because their sampling point density is nowhere near adequate.  The same is true of the sampling of dolerite on assorted tors in the uplands.

All of the authors involved in this current spat are explicitly claiming they understand the full range of variation of an entire geological formation based on chipping away at a small handful of prominent upland rocks. They treat the landscape as if it contains only a set number of possible "addresses," completely ignoring the millions of tons of un-sampled surface dolerite and low-lying, heather-hidden outcrops such as those of Waun Mawn.

Third, on a related matter, the huge geochemical and petrological variation that occurs within the Preseli sills has not been adequately recognized or factored in to the analytical work.  I pointed this out in my published paper on Carn Goedog:


... and have said the same thing repeatedly on my blog.  A spot sample from a particular location on Carn Goedog may tell us a lot about that precise sampling point, but it tells us just a part of the story relating to anywhere else. In the exchange of aggressive articles by out two teams as noted above, we find this classic statement from Pearce et al:

"The calculation approach fails to take into account even the most basic petrographic observations, which in the case of Stone 62 at Stonehenge shows that it is a non-spotted dolerite, hence cannot be sourced from a spotted dolerite source such as Carn Goedog." 

Pearce et al do not seem to know that the Carn Goedog tor contains both spotted and unspotted dolerite.  It seems to me that a little fieldwork might come in handy, now and then.


So Carn Goedog is by definition a spotted dolerite tor?  Think again, chaps, and 
preferably do some fieldwork........

Finally, this is a pretty damning admission in Ciborowski et al 2026: ".... incompatible element variation (at least as elucidated by pXRF) within individual bluestone monoliths may be similar in scale to the petrological variation between individual Preseli dolerite outcrops."  And yet they persist in arguing about individual Stonehenge monoliths like stone 62, and about individual tors as places where reliable and representative spot provenancing can be done!!

This is not the first time that attention has been drawn to the variations that exist within individual glacial erratics or Stonehenge monoliths.  The same argument is currently going on with regard to the physical and chemical characteristics of the Altar Stone...........

If we have a wide range of geochemical and petrological characteristics within individual tors of sills on Preseli, and a similar wide range even within individual monoliths like stone 62, accurate spot provenancing becomes virtually impossible.  So why do assorted highly qualified scientists continue to pretend that it is not only possible but desirable?

They do say that Stonehenge makes people slightly mad.   If that is so,  those (including me!) who spend their time agonising over Bluestone 62 (or any other) are probably completely bonkers!

As far as I am concerned, if it can be shown that Stone 62 (or any other) possibly comes from somewhere on Mynydd Preseli, that is quite enough to be going on with.









Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Herbert Thomas and the German erratics


I have been doing more research on the origins of the human transport hypothesis (I won't call it a theory today, since it is not supported by enough evidence) and have discovered a delicious irony.  

The inventor of the human transport idea was of course geologist Herbert Thomas, around 1918-1921 -- formulating his ideas in the years after the end of the Great War.  Anyway, in 1921—just three years after the armistice -- Thomas wrote his famous paper tracing the bluestones to the Preseli Hills. At that moment in history, British archaeology was deeply entangled with national identity. The devastating loss of life in the Great War left a fractured national psyche that desperately needed a narrative of ancient British exceptionalism, organization, and cultural supremacy to counter the dominant German archaeological schools of the era and the exciting Neolithic discoveries made in Germany.

To restore national pride, British academic institutions desperately sought narratives of ancient domestic superiority.  Emphasizing that British Neolithic tribes possessed great enough intelligence, social cohesion, and engineering genius to manually haul multi-tonne monoliths across hundreds of miles of wilderness served as a powerful cultural balm. It explicitly positioned ancient British society as far more "civilized" and sophisticated than its continental German contemporaries.  I have dealt with this issue before on this blog, with thanks to Stephen Briggs and David Keys of the Independent newspaper:

In don't for  moment believe that Thomas was an independent and objective scientist simply reporting on his findings and drawing sensible conclusions from his evidence.  He knew exactly what he was doing.


This is what I have said earler about Thomas's deliberate distortion /manipulation of the evidence of glaciation:

All things considered, the accumulated evidence shows that by 1910 the broad outlines of glaciation in the Bristol Channel / Celtic Sea arena were already established, involving thick and active ice carrying erratics and other glacial materials from the NW across Pembrokeshire and up the Bristol Channel, affecting the coasts of South Wales and the South-West Peninsula. In making his claims about the impossibility of bluestone transport towards Stonehenge HH Thomas wilfully ignored a great amount of evidence in the printed literature, and wilfully misrepresented the opinions of senior "glacialists". It is quite extraordinary that he got away with it -- but that, maybe, was because he was a geologist talking to archaeologists or antiquarians. If he had been a geologist talking to other geologists, he would certainly not have got away with it. They would have had his guts for garters.

Ixer and Bevins have also questioned his competence as a field geologist and petrologist..........
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305440313001076
https://doi.org/10.15184/aqy.2018.10

Anyway, leaving aside Thomas's professionalism and his integrity, he has had pretty much a free ride from the academic community, since most archaeologists and even most geologists seem to have accepted the reliability of what he had to say.  The narrative that he outlined was warmly accepted and then eagerly developed by the likes of Atkinson, Wainwright and Parker Pearson -- and even initially by other geologists.

Now, more than a hundred years later, we come full circle.  We now know that Salisbury Plain behaves identically to  continental equivalents over deep time, where older glacial tills on Cretaceous chalk undergo geomorphological erasure through chemical weathering and periglacial activity. This absence of coherent till reflects the defining characteristics of parts of the North European Old Drift Landscape (Altmoränenlandschaft) created in the Anglian glaciation but unaffected by later ice incursions.


Nobbin megalithic tomb, North Germany


Hünenbett on Riesenberg, near Nobbin, North Germany
 
A century later, standard European geomorphology reveals that German and Danish contemporaneous tribes were simply harvesting natural, large glacial lag erratics left on chalk downlands subject to quite rapid surface lowering.  They had no need to go hunting for rock outcrops or to open monolith quarries.  They used erratic boulders more or less where found, to create structures thet were sometimes quite complex.  By defending the human transport model as an immutable truth, modern orthodoxy is not defending robust field data; it is inadvertently protecting a piece of post-WWI anti-German political propaganda from 1921.

It will be a beautifiul irony if a deepeer understanding of megalithic structures made of glacial erratics on a chalk bedrock base in Northern Germany demonstrates once and for all that the Stonehenge "human transport" scenario is altogether unnecessary, and that the promotion of a wildly fanciful bluestone narrative by HH Thomas and his successors has been a complete waste of time.

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See also:

on the perceived value or significance of glacial erratics.